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As the Iran-US crisis enters its deadline day, global financial markets are experiencing record-level volatility. WTI crude hovers near $113 per barrel, the S&P 500 trades nervously, and gold is pushing toward record highs as investors seek shelter from geopolitical risk.
US WTI crude settled near $113 per barrel at Tuesday's close on April 7. A day earlier, the May contract ticked up 0.78% to close at $112.41 per barrel, while international benchmark Brent edged 0.68% higher to settle at $109.77. The ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz continues to strain global oil logistics, with every tanker rerouting adding days to delivery times.
The S&P 500 index is hovering around the 6,582 level. On Tuesday's session the benchmark trimmed most of a 1.2% early drop as hopes grew for a diplomatic resolution. Energy sector shares advanced 4.2%, while airlines gained 2.8% on expectations that fuel-price spikes could moderate if the strait reopens. Technology remains under continued pressure as risk-off positioning prevails.
The US Energy Information Administration has sharply raised its oil and gasoline price forecasts. Average US gasoline prices are now expected to peak at $4.30 per gallon this month — the highest level since 2022. This adds significant pressure to consumer inflation measures just weeks before the next Federal Reserve meeting.
Traders are positioning for extreme volatility around tonight's 8 p.m. ET deadline. Options markets are pricing in the largest overnight implied moves of 2026 for oil, equities, and currencies. Global fund managers are implementing hedging strategies, with gold ETF inflows hitting a three-year record this week as capital flees to traditional safe havens.
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